The Iowa State Fair Straw Poll is a pretty good indicator for statewide races

The Iowa Secretary of State's Iowa State Fair Straw Poll accurately predicted the winner of the statewide races it polled in 2016 and 2018.

This morning I tweeted an update regarding the Iowa Secretary of State's Iowa State Fair Straw Poll during the Iowa State Fair. Fairgoers can drop by Secretary Pate's booth in the Varied Industries Building and vote. 

As of yesterday, U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, had a commanding lead over his Democratic challenger Mike Franken, and Gov. Kim Reynolds leads her Democratic challenger, Deidre DeJear. 

Shane Vander Hart @shanevanderhart

.@IowaSOS's Iowa State Fair Straw Poll Watch... As of 1:00 pm yesterday with over 1400 people voting. #iasen: @ChuckGrassley 60% @FrankenforIowa 32% #iagov: @KimReynoldsIA 54% @DeidreDeJear 28% @RickStewart 13% #iapolitics

At the time I started writing this (4:15 pm), here are the current results:

*Incumbent

U.S. Senate Race:

• Chuck Grassley (R)* - 59.77% (1077)

• Mike Franken (D) - 33.80% (609)

Iowa 1st Congressional District:

• Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)* - 58.11% (197)

• Christina Bohannan (D) - 34.22% (118)

Iowa 2nd Congressional District:

• Ashley Hinson (R)* - 62.10% (154)

• Liz Mathis (D) - 29.03% (72)

Iowa 3rd Congressional District:

• Zach Nunn (R) - 58.02% (499)

• Cindy Axne (D)* - 38.14% (328)

Iowa 4th Congressional District:

• Randy Feenstra (R)* - 62.71% (222)

• Ryan Melton (D) - 21.19% (75)

• Bryan Jack Holder (L) - 12.15% (43)

Governor and Lt. Governor:

• Kim Reynolds (R)* - 55.64% (1065)

• Deidre DeJear (D) - 29.57% (566)

• Rick Stewart (L) - 11.44% (219)